Switch predicted by analysts to outsell next-gen consoles in 2021

Nintendo Switch - Neon Splash Simple Switch sales 2021 switch pro

There certainly wasn’t a shortage of sales news for Nintendo Switch in 2020, as the console went from strength to strength. In theory, that could slow down this year, with the arrival (and actual stocking) of next-generation consoles. However, Switch is still incredibly popular even in the wake of PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S, and it’s hard to see sales slowing down. GamesIndustry.biz spoke with some top analysts about 2021 predictions, and Switch remains a hot topic.

NPD analyst Mat Piscatella remains confident that Nintendo Switch will sell the most hardware units this year. However, he believes it will be spurred by software and promotions as opposed to a “new iterative model.” The release of a hypothetical Switch Pro does not factor into his predictions.

However, Dr. Serkan Toto from Kantan Games and Piers Harding-Rolls from Ampere Analysis more firmly believe that a new Switch model is indeed on the way. Toto also remains confident of record Switch sales and cites Switch Pro as one factor for it. Harding-Rolls predicts that Nintendo Switch will shift roughly 24 million units in 2021. He predicts combined next-gen console sales will total 25 million, which means that no individual console would come close to outselling Switch.

All in all, we might be in for another record year for Switch. Hardware sales are one thing though, and we hope Nintendo backs that momentum up with a great year for software. It feels like a lot of upcoming Switch games don’t have solid release dates yet, and we hope the 2021 landscape is solidified in the coming months.

Do you think Switch will continue to outsell PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S in 2021?


Ben Kerry
Freelance Writer. Work seen elsewhere at Eurogamer & Gamereactor. Fan of action, racing and straight up walkin' in any video game he can get his hands on. When he's not gaming, Ben spends his time listening to way too much Guns N' Roses, watching football and probably eating somewhere...